Originally Posted by sionyboy
Certainly going to be an interesting election, if Brexit becomes the overriding issue for voters then could we see some interesting swings?
Tory Remainers fearing a Hard Brexit heading to the Lib Dems?
Labour Leavers not trusting Corbyn/Labour to follow through on Brexit head to the Tories?
Labour Remainers feeling betrayed by Corbyn whipping MPs to allow Article 50 Bill to pass unapposed heading to the Lib Dems?
The 12.7% of the electorate who voted UKIP in 2015, where do they go? Continue with UKIP, or head back to Tory/Labour?
I could see the Lib Dems picking up seats at the expense of both Tory and Labour, which would really fuck with May's grand ambition for calling this election in the first place. That would be just super. :)
Or is Brexit now a distant memory, and on the whole people will continue to vote based on whatever Ma & Pa used to do? In which case we'll probably end up with Conservatives being returned to power, but perhaps with an extra.... 10-15 seats?
Even more complicated than that. So far today I've talked to:
- that UKIP voter staying with UKIP
- a solid Labour remainer who will vote Tory because "Theresa May needs all the help she can get"
- a couple of LibDems sticking with LibDem
- an ex-Labour UKIPper now voting Tory because he can't stand Corbyn and thinks the LibDems are for losers
I think the LibDems are the only party that won't lose
any voters. Beyond that I can't see anything but fog.